UFC London Betting Tips

UFC London
Blaydes
VS
Aspinall

Sunday 24th July

Jai Herbert VS Kyle Nelson

Jai Herbert Via KO/TKO
Stake 2.75 Units
Minimum Odds 1.8
Best Book - UNIBET

We have two fighters that are absolute killers, with none of their combined eight fights in the UFC having seen the scorecards. Nelson is coming back after not fighting for the last two years and is moving up a weight class, instantly warning me how fit he will be in the fight. Herbert may not be the most technical fighter, but he swings big bombs, having rocked all of his opponents at some point in his fights. Nelson will likely be the instigator in the first round, but I can't see his power or fitness carrying past the first few minutes where Herbert can start wearing Nelson down till the finish.

Muhammad Mokaev VS Charles Johnson

Charles Johnson Win
Stake 1 Unit
Minimum Odds 4.5
Best Book - Topsport

This is purely a value bet as we take advantage of a line that has gotten entirely out of control. Mokaev got a quick finish in his UFC debut, but he is still a relatively inexperienced fighter in his professional career. Mokaev has a brilliant amateur record, but he has never fought anyone near the level of Johnson. Johnson is a three-time LFA champion making his debut in the UFC. Johnson is a former cross country runner with a vast cardio advantage in this fight due to this and his 5 round experience. Mokaev will need to get this fight to the mat as Johnson will have a decided advantage on the feet with his superior boxing ability. At the weigh-in, Mokaev came out with a cheeky push to Johnson's throat, showing his inexperience and naivety. At over $5 odds, this seems too good not to take a shot on a fighter with this many advantages.

Makwan Amirkhani VS Jonathan Pearce

Jonathan Pearce Win Via KO/TKO or Decision
Stake 2.75 Units
Minimum Odds 1.78
Best Book - BET365

There is a lot of talk about Amirkhani locking up a first-round submission in this fight. Amirkhani argues that Pearce left his neck hanging out a lot in his last fight. However, I think you can poke a lot of holes into that theory, and in a vacuum, Pearce is a much better fighter. However, we will see in the coming years that Pearce's opponent Rodriguez was an elite-level prospect. Pearce will have a decided advantage with his cardio, strength, and technical ability and a slight wrestling advantage. As long as Pearce can keep the war on the feet in the first round or control the grappling situations, he should have no trouble taking care of "MR Finland". Amirkhani has shown a poor gas tank in the past, and Pearce could either finish him late or get the win on the scorecards, so well cover both outcomes here.

L’udovit Klein VS Mason Jones

Mason Jones Win Via KO/TKO or Sub
Stake 2.5 Units
Minimum Odds 1.85
Best Book - Pointsbet

Mason Jones is a brilliant fighter who will look to gain some momentum after a great win over another top-tier prospect in David Onama. Jones has solid hands and elite-level grappling, which will be too much for the overhyped Klein. Klein has a chance with his lethal head kicks but has shown poor wrestling, and each kick will give Jones a potential opening to take Klein down. Klein has a poor gas tank as the fight continues, and Jones will be looking to finish the fight as quickly as he can after coming in on the short notice.

Paul Craig VS Volkan Oezdemir

Paul Craig Win Via Submission
Stake 1.75 Units
Minimum Odds 2.90
Best Book - Sportsbet

Paul Craig is potentially the best underdog in the UFC as he keeps winning when the decks are stacked against him. Oezdemir is a powerful fighter with heavy hands but has sometimes shown questionable IQ. I took Craig by Sub in his last fight with the same sentiment I have here, as I believe Oezdemir is the better fighter. However, Craig potentially has the most dangerous Jiu-Jitsu in the UFC, where the fight is effectively over if this fight was to hit the mat. Craig has shown it doesn't matter which position he is in, as he can lock up a finish from any spot. Craig came into the faceoff with his usual high intensity, and Oezdemir looked visibly rocked, which won't play a part in the fight but will only help Craig's mental processing when he sees him across the octagon.

Paddy Pimblett VS Jordan Leavitt

Paddy Pimblett Win Via KO/TKO or Decision
Stake 2.25 Units
Minimum Odds 2.0
Best Book - BET365

Paddy Pimblett is quickly becoming a fan favourite hype train, from his witty quips to his post-fight indulgences and his belief that he can one day be the champion. While I only encourage 2 of these three things, Pimblett has a clear advantage on the feet in this match. Leavitt is a strong grappler who is probably Pimbletts most significant attribute as well; however, unlike Pimblett, Leavitt has an inferior striking ability. Pimblett will likely win all the standing exchanges and can defend submissions well if taken to the mat. I can see either a KO or a decision victory for Pimblett here, who should be wary of Leavitt's submission ability. I am hoping a win here pushes Pimblett close to the rankings as I am gearing up to go against him in a big way as soon as he faces a fighter with more technical skill. As much of a personality that Pimblett is, I can't see him becoming a champion or even being in the conversation in the UFC.