Free NBA SGM, Wednesday 14th April 2021

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Why I like this Bet.

  • Pascal has hit this line 8/44 times this season already.

  • At the PF Position, the Hawks concede the 2nd least rebounds, the 9th least assists and 8th least points.

  • When he has a bad game, he can go very low on stats.

  • There is always a chance he gets benched or disciplined and misses court time.

  • He has hit this line 3 times in the last month alone.

It isn't often you can get over $13 odds for something that happens 1 in 5.5 games. I've max bet this one at my bookie. Spicy P's has significant differences in stats from game to game coupled with his questionable All-NBA selection last season, the public tends to bet the overs, which pushes the lines up.

This bet's weaknesses are Lowry’s absence today and at home; he is less likely to hit this line. However, the difference between being a positive EV at home and not is within him hitting it in one game. He has also hit this line without Lowry once this season already and gone close twice more. I usually give some leeway if some factors are within one game of this.

Bet Details.

  • Stake: 1.5 Units.

  • Min Odds to Take: $8

Want more tips, Click Here to Learn more

Danny Page

Once upon a time, there was a small betting group, each individual a winning bettor in their own right, and with different areas of expertise, they would share their tips and learn ways to improve their betting.


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One Day, one of them caught up with an old friend, they realised they both crushed the bookies but with different techniques and strategies.


Because of that, they started to work together and crush the bookies like never before. They began to share all the things they had learnt. They began to search for ways to improve even more, and the collaboration supercharged their betting abilities.


Because of that, they thought, other people must be doing this on other sports, and they searched far and wide for reliable tippers they could follow to add to their portfolio of bookie crushing bets. Still, they couldn’t find any that were transparent, honest and with profits close to their own.

Until finally, they decided to create Black Swan Bets and build the transparent, honest and profitable tipping service that has let the public start to share the same results that the group previously only had themselves.

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