Rays NFL Tips Week 12
How To
Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.
Follow the staking advice.
Check the number of units to stake in the caption of each photo.
Always try to use the Best Odds advised.
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Tuesday 30th November
Seahawks @ Football Team
Seahawks/WFT Total Under 46.5 - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 1.85, Best Book - Sportmarket
The Seahawks have been an under team all season with an offence that lacks cohesion and a defence that is slightly underrated. The Football team are starting to struggle on offence in recent weeks and Taylor Heinecke looks to have already peaked this season.
Player Prop SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 3.6, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Russel Wilson will be back to his best on the ground this week as he escapes from a strong pass rush. The Football team have given up the 5th most rushing yards to quarterbacks this season. JD McKissic is one of my favourite players to bet receiving yards over. McKissic has gone over this total in 4 of his last 5 matches and gets the best possible matchup this week. The Seahawks have given up the most receiving yards to opposing running backs this season and allow plenty of open space for outlet passes.
Combo SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 11, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Monday 29th November
Browns @ Ravens
Ravens/Browns SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 5.0, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Titans @ Patriots
Patriots SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.8, Best Book - Lads/Neds
We didnt get the Hunter Henry touchdown last week, but the odds are still looking great this week especially when added to the Patriots winning the match. Henry has scored in 6 of his last 8 games and is the first read for Mac Jones in the redzone. The Titans are on a downward spiral right now while the Patriots are flying high.
Eagles @ Giants
Jalen Hurts SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.2, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Jalen Hurts has hit this line in his last 4 games straight games which correlates with the Eagles new offensive scheme. The Eagles have finally begun to run the ball and pass less which they have needed to do for the last 3 seasons. Of course, this has led to 3 wins in their last 4 games and gives the Eagles a chance to keep their slim playoff hopes alive.
Buccaneers @ Colts
Mike Evans Touchdown - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 2.0, Best Book - BET365
Mike Evans is one of our go-to player props and he’s been finding the endzone at a nice rate this season. Evans has scored in his last 4 games straight and maintains his status as Tom Bradys favourite red zone target.
Falcons @ Jaguars
Falcons SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.6, Best Book - BET365
We have seen the real Jaguars side come out the last few weeks and what it’s shown is this side lacks any type of explosive playmaker. The Jaguars have grabbed a couple of wins this season but they were against a poor Dolphins side and a Bills team that was looking past them. The Falcons are still in the hunt for a playoff spot and this is a must-win game for them. Both sides don’t put up a tonne of points on offence and are better defensively, leading us to the under as well.
Panthers @ Dolphins
Cam Newton SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.6, Best Book - Sportsbet
Cam is back and will likely be the Panthers starter for the remainder of the season. This is a very typical line for Cam Newton who loves to run the ball himself in the redzone. Cam made this line last week and has a better chance of creating running lanes with the Panthers as defenses have to respect Christian McCafferey.
Steelers @ Bengals
Joe Mixon Touchdown - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 1.8, Best Book - BET365
Joe Mixon has been a touchdown machine this season, scoring in his last 7 games straight. Mixon also gets a nice matchup against the Steelers who are just off the back of giving up 4 touchdowns to Austin Ekeler.
Joe Mixon 2+ Touchdowns - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.8, Best Book - Sportsbet
Joe Mixon has scored 2 touchdowns in his last 3 matches. Were getting great odds to have a small play on Mixon to keep this run going.
Rams @ Packers
Rams -1.5/Total Under 47.5 Double - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.4, Best Book - Lads/Neds
The Rams will be looking to bounce back after a couple of tough losses before the bye. With the Bye, the Rams have had 2 weeks to plan for this match. Green Bay is banged up right now and there’s no guarantee that Aaron Rodgers will even play with his broken toe. If Rodgers does play, I expect a lot of conservative playcalling. As great as both of these offences look, both teams have better defences. The under is definitely in play here as well when we have to take the weather into account. Lambeau field is nicknamed the frozen tundra and it will be very cold for the remaining Packers home games.
Rams/Packers SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 14, Best Book - BET365
We are leaning into the under here taking each teams top receivers to have a more conservative game. Sony Michel looks to getting intergratted into the Rams offense more and it could only take a few runs for Michel to pass this line.
Vikings @ 49ers
Vikings +3.5/Total Over 48.5 Double - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.3, Best Book - BET365
Both the 49ers and the Vikings are peaking at the same time this season and they have similar roster builds right now. Both teams have weaker defences that can be exploited and strong offences that love to score points. Both teams will want to run the ball and exploit play-action passes. The Vikings have been in close games all season and this matchup doesn’t look to change that. I’m expecting a shootout in this match and getting the Vikings over a field goal is excellent value.
Gameday Multi
Gameday Multi - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 11, Best Book - BET365
Thanksgiving Football
Friday 26th November
Bears @ Lions
Mooney SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.25, Best Book - Sportsbet
Darnell Mooney is breaking out right now and showing that he is a true number 1 wide receiver. Mooney has been getting a big uptick in targets recently and will be Andy Daltons go to receiver this week.
Raiders @ Cowboys
Cowboys SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.4, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Tony Pollard has cleared this receiving yards total in 5 of his last 6 games. Ezekiel Elliott has been having a down season but still getting onto the score sheet regularly. Elliott has a terrific record on thanksgiving and should find the line once again tomorrow.
Bills @ Saints
Bills SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 4.6, Best Book - BET365
Stefon Diggs has been heating up recently and he has a deceptively good matchup against former star cornerback Marshon Lattimore. Diggs has been getting more involved in key situations and has found the endzone in 4 of his last 5 matches. With the way this matchup predicts to play out, I see both teams throwing the ball a lot and see plenty of points on the scoreboard.
Turkey Day Multi
Bears, Cowboys and Bills All Win - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 2.9, Best Book - Lads/Neds
