Rays NFL Tips Conference Championship
How To
Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.
Follow the staking advice.
Check the number of units to stake in the caption of each photo.
Always try to use the Best Odds advised.
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Monday 31st January
Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs - 07:00
Total Points Under 54.5 - Stake 2.5 Units, Minimum Odds 1.87, Best Book - Sportmarket
We have a total that is too high for a conference championship match. The Bengals have surprised me at every turn so far in the playoffs, however, playing a knockout match in the toughest stadium for away teams in the league will be a step too much for the Bengals. I would have liked to get to the spread on the Chiefs but it hit 7.5 and I just can’t get to the hook on the 7. The under here looks like a terrific play with most of the public money for this game likely to come on the over. The Bengals are going to struggle to put up points and move the ball in general. I see the Chiefs shutting down the run game early and putting together long methodical drives themselves that keep the clock ticking. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Chiefs with a 2:1 ratio in the time of possession stat at the end of this one.
Kelce SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 3.3, Best Book - Sportsbet
After an up and down season, Kelce has re-established himself as one of the premier offensive players in the league so far in the playoffs. Kelce has hit this line in both playoffs matches the Chiefs have played in this season and 4 of the last 5 go back to last season. Kelce gets a terrific matchup against the Bengals who gave up the 5th most receiving yards to tight ends and the 6th most touchdowns. Kelce turns it on in the playoffs.
Mixon SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 3.2, Best Book - BET365
Mixon has been used heavily in the passing game over the last 4 weeks as the Bengals have turned it on at the business end of the season. Mixon has always been a terrific dual-threat running back and will be even more crucial in the passing game this week as I expect the Bengals to be trailing for the majority of the match. Last week Burrow was sacked 9 times and Burrow will be used as an outlet this week to avoid a strong Kansas City pass rush. To match with the negative game script I expect the Bengals to be in, we have Mixon under rushing yards. This makes sense as the ball gets taken off the ground and sent through the air. Mixon has gone under this rushing total in 6 of his last 7 matches.
Chiefs/Bengals Combo SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 23, Best Book - BET365
San Francisco 49ers @ Los Angeles Rams - 10:30
49ers +3.5 - Stake 2.5 Units, Minimum Odds 1.87, Best Book - Topsport
The simple way to put this one is getting +3.5 in this matchup is just too good to turn down. The 49ers with Kyle Shannahan have bested Sean McVay and the Rams at every opportunity of their respective careers, holding a 6-0 record straight up. This divisional rivalry has generally been a close one for a long time and if we give the 49ers a line of +3.5, they would have outright won or covered the spread in a massive 26 of their last 30 matches against the Rams. The 49ers are going to come into this match full of confidence and on a brilliant streak that makes them look like potentially the best team in the NFL right now. Deebo Samuel is quickly moving to elite status on the offence and Nick Bosa is a perennial DPOY candidate. Getting the hook on the 3 here is just too good to pass up.
Kupp SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 2.8, Best Book - Sportsbet
Cooper Kupp established himself this season as one of the best receivers in the league and is Matthew Staffords safety blanket. Kupp will be heavily involved once again especially in a do or die situation. Kupp passed this yardage mark in both the previous matches against the 49ers this season and scored in 1 of those matches. Kupp will be the number 1 target in the red zone this week.
49ers Rushing SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 3.1, Best Book - BET365
The 49ers will be running the ball all day against the Rams. This has been their game plan to beat them for the last few years and it hasn’t failed yet. Both Elijah Mitchell and Deebo Samuel are elite runners in the outside zone running scheme in which the 49ers play. Both players are capable of picking up chunk yardage at any point and breaking a game open.
49ers/Rams Combo SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 12, Best Book - BET365
