Caveman’s Tips NFL Week 5
How To
Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.
Follow the staking advice.
Check the number of units to stake in the caption of each photo.
Always try to use the Best Odds advised.
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All Times are in AEST.
Tuesday 12th October
Colts @ Ravens
Ravens SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.0, Best Book - Sportsbet
Ravens TD SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 4.9, Best Book - Sportsbet
Monday 11th October
Bills @ Chiefs
Kelce SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 2.6, Best Book - Sportsbet
Dolphins @ Buccaneers
Buccaneers SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 4.2, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Eagles @ Panthers
Panthers/Eagles SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 6.5, Best Book - Sportsbet
Titans @ Jaguars
Derrick Henry 2+ Touchdowns - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.0, Best Book - Sportsbet
Lions @ Vikings
Lions/Vikings SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 4.7, Best Book - Sportsbet
Broncos @ Steelers
Steelers +1.5 - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 1.9, Best Book - Topsport
Packers @ Bengals
Bengals/Packers SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.5, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Browns @ Chargers
Nick Chubb Anytime Touchdown - Stake 3 Units, Minimum Odds 1.88, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Giants @ Cowboys
Cowboys/Giants SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.3, Best Book - Lads/Neds
Friday 8th October
Rams @ Seahawks
Rams SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 3.8, Best Book - Lads/Neds
NFL Early Lines
Rams @ Seahawks
Rams -2.5 - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 1.9, Best Book - Sportsbet
We're getting a nice number on the Rams here at -2.5 currently, and I enjoy taking high octane teams coming off a loss. So far this season, all four away teams on Thursday Night Football have covered the spread. The Seahawks are as phony as a $3 bill, and I currently have them as the worst team in their division. The Rams have an incredible record of 40-0 when leading at halftime, and I expect them to come out of the gates fast this week against a poor Seahawks defence.
Titans @ Jaguars
Titans -4 - Stake 2.5 Units, Minimum Odds 1.88, Best Book - Pointsbet
The Titans had a poor game last week, getting beaten by the Jets in overtime. The Titans had troubles in the red zone as they couldn't convert their field goals into touchdowns due to some average playcalling. Right now, we are getting a good number due to the uncertainty of Julio Jones and AJ Brown, but with another whole week of practice without them, the Titans will have a better game plan. Urban Meyer is all over the news right now, and it is highly likely he has lost the locker room. Whenever teams have coaching issues heading into a game, it has a decisive effect on the game plan. Derrick Henry looks set for another massive competition on the ground, and if one of the Titans receivers becomes healthy, this line will climb closer to 6 or 7.
Browns @ Chargers
Browns Win - Stake 3.5 Units, Minimum Odds 1.95, Best Book - Topsport
The Chargers had a good win on Monday Night Football last week, and because of this, we have an inflated number on them. The Browns are a much stronger team than the Chargers on both offence and defence. The Browns are coming off a tight match against Minnesota and will be looking to roll through the Chargers to stay in contention for the number one seed. The Chargers have a shocking run defence, giving up over 160 yards in each of their first three matches and at least 90 yards to a runner in each of those matches. The Chargers were slightly better in run defence on Monday, but that was a poor game plan by the Raiders that didn't exploit this Chargers weakness. The Browns bread and butter is in the run game, and I can see them going for 180+ yards on the ground here. The Browns are in a great spot here with three straight home games on deck. This is my strongest play on the season so far.
Early Line Multi - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.7, Best Book - Topsport
