Sepo’s NFL Previews #1
Week 4 Thursday Night Football
Denver Broncos @ New York Jets
Match-up Insight
For everyone like me who missed gambling on preseason games, here’s your chance. Featuring two teams at the bottom of the DVOA ratings, this is the worst match-up of the season so far.
The Jets are my pick here because of their underrated defence. Due to the Jets horrific offence, their defence continues to be underrated. I don’t think an undrafted free-agent Quarterback will go into his first away start and win, no matter who the opponent is (shame the Broncos aren’t playing the Browns, who would find a way to lose). Incredibly, the Jets have not given up at least 40 points in any of their first three weeks. Moving on from Jamal Adams has affected the Jets passing defence, both in coverage and in rushing the passer.
A reason to be sceptical about the Jets possibly having an average to below-average defence is their pass and run defence splits. Every Jets game so far has been a blowout, with the opposing team mostly throwing out their game plan, running between the tackles, and being inefficient with their running game. Easy completions when opposing teams decide to pass is resulting in the Jets pass defence not being able to hold up in the first half of games.
The Last Word
With injuries at every level of the field, the Broncos are a complete unknown. I am a fan of Brett Rypien, and he could be a Shaun Hill/Matt Moore/Kellen Moore type in the future. However, it is too big of a jump for him to be able to drag such a depleted team to an away win in his first start.
