Caveman’s Monday Madness October 19


Week 6 Monday Night Football

Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills

Matchup Basics

Matchup Insight

Primetime Monday night and we get a doubleheader starting with the game we missed on Thursday night. Both teams come into tonight after suffering upset losses last week, the Chiefs played poorly. They lost to an average Raiders outfit, and the Bills lost to the Tennessee COVIDs. 

Patrick Mahomes is going to be out for blood in this one, and Andy Reid will have devised a cunning plan that would have Hasbro scratching their heads. The injury report before the game will be crucial, as the only hope the Bills have to slow the Chiefs is to have all their defensive starters firing, including Matt Milano (to guard Kelce) and Tre' Davious White (to try and defend Hill). If either of these guys is out, Mahomes will take full advantage of the mismatch. 

On the Chiefs side of the ball, they will be without Sammy Watkins, and this opens the door for a big game from my guy Mecole Hardman. We've been high on Hardman all year, and his prop bets continuously keep coming in. Expect no difference tonight, even with the higher line on his yardage total and an excellent chance to get into the endzone again. 

Josh Norman had a horrific game for the Bills last week and whoever he lines up against this week (probably Hardman) will be in for a big game. The MNF history is on the side of the Bills however as they are 7-3-1 on MNF as an underdog. Still, what I like is in these games they are ten under to one over with the over being a game last year that crept over the 38 point total. 

The Last Word

These two teams haven't played each other since 2017 when both sides were vastly different. The history between these teams stretches back as long as any of them with one exact point of emphasis, in the super bowl era only once have these teams scored a total of 53 points or more. The total started at 57.5 and has been bet down, but I can see the game going tight again.

Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys

Matchup Basics

Matchup Insight

Our second game takes us to the Lonestar state where gun rules are loose, and ankles are wild. This is going to be the first game without Prescott, and the first time we see the ginger ninja suit up this season. Now Andy Dalton I believe is one of the top 3 backup QBs in the league, with the weapons that he has, there is no reason he shouldn't be even better than he was in Cincinnati.

This game plays directly into my injury system where you always bet on a team the week straight after the star goes down. The Cowboys are going to rally for Dak and try to get him and his wonky foot a win. Dallas' defence is terrible this year, but if there a time to turn that around, it's on Monday night in front of your home crowd.

The Cardinals look to be without 2 of their starters on the offensive line, which will make Kenyan Drake's terrible season continue, and force Murray into making more plays with his feet. They also have lost defensive Talisman Chandler Jones which will create colossal pass rush problems giving Dalton more time to fire up.

The Dallas Cowboys are playing their 3rd consecutive home game and will look to get one more win above the rest of the NFC East before moving onto the road.

The Arizona Cardinals, on the other hand, are playing their 3rd consecutive away game in which they've travelled back to Arizona after each one, that's a lot of travel for a young team, and that will start to show up tonight.

The Last Word

The Cowboys will look to put another game between them and the abysmal NFC East tonight, and big red should get the job done against these tired Cardinals. I expect a massive game for Ezekiel Elliot, and I see Michael Gallup becoming Dalton's new favourite receiver. Dalton Schultz has a great matchup in the middle of the park, and Dalton Andy has always enjoyed throwing to his tight ends.

Ray Walker

I am a sports betting analyst who provides data-focused services which allow clients to receive an un-complicated representation of specific statistics. I categorise my statistical model into easy-to-understand formats and offer recommendations on how to use my data to gain an edge over the bookmakers.

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