Black Swan Bets - Australia's Sports Betting Membership

View Original

In The Octagon With Ray & Trav

How To

  1. Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.

  2. Follow the staking advice.

  3. Check the number of units to stake in the caption of each photo. See the example below.

  4. Always try too use the Best Odds Bookmaker.

  5. Any questions or want general banter? In The Octagon Telegram https://t.me/joinchat/CCLKFh01Ql4wMjdl

UFC Vegas 46
Kattar
VS
Chikadze

Sunday 16th January

Prelims

Ramiz Brahimaj VS Court McGee

Court McGee by Decision - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 2.7, Best Book - BET365

Court McGee is a veteran of the UFC who has fought some of the best fighters around. McGee’s best attribute is his defence and incredible fight IQ. McGee doesn’t finish anyone with 15 of his last 16 fights getting to the judges scorecards. Brahimaj is an explosive grappler who tries to finish fights in the first round by chaining together submission attempts. When this doesn’t work, it’s likely he will be gassed and Court will grind him out for the remainder of the fight. Court McGee has never been finished by submission in his career.

Jamie Pickett VS Joseph Holmes

Jamie Pickett by Decision - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.5, Best Book - BET365

Jamie Pickett is a very athletic fighter who is coming into this fight in brilliant shape. Pickett is not the strongest fighter in the UFC and he is not the type of fighter destined for the rankings, however, this is a matchup where he should get his hand raised. Joseph Holmes is coming off the contender series where he really didn’t show us enough to prove he will cut it in the UFC. Contender series fighters are usually a brilliant bet to fade in their first UFC fight as it’s generally a huge step up in competition for them like it will be for Holmes.

Prelim Multi

Prelim Multi - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 5.8, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Main Card

Katlyn Chookagian VS Jennifer Maia

Katlyn Chookagian by Decision - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 1.8, Best Book - Lads/Neds

We have a rematch here that to be honest never really needed to be made. In the first fight Chookagian won by decision and neither fighter has improved dramatically in the interim. In fact I believe Maia has regressed slightly. Chookagian is the type of fighter who will never finish anyone, she will use her kicks to keep the fight at range and use a loud “kee-ah” on every strike whether it’s landed or not which makes the judges think she’s doing better than she really is. Chookagian has only lost to the very best in the division.

Brandon Royval VS Rogerio Bontorin

Brandon Royval by Sub - Stake 2.5 Units, Minimum Odds 2.6, Best Book - Sportsbet

This is going to be a brilliant match-up of two great flyweights. Brandon Royval is coming off back to back losses against the very best in the flyweight division, while Bontorin is still trying to build his way up the rankings. Royval fights with an incredible pace which in itself is used as a weapon. Royval has elite level grappling and when the fight gets to the mat, he will chain together submission attempts wearing his opponent down. Bontorin is short and stocky and also a high-level grappler but he is not on Royvals level. Bontorin likes to slowly build into the fight and prefers being on the front foot controlling the pace. Royval will not let Bontorin come forward on him and he will force the action until Bontorin makes a mistake. I expect Royval to finish this one quickly and it wo’nt take long for him to find a submission once we get to the mat.

Chase Sherman VS Jake Collier

Jake Collier by Decision- Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 2.45, Best Book - Pointsbet

This is a low-level heavy-weight bout where it is likely the loser leaves the UFC for good. Collier is a big man, pushing the very boundaries of the 265 pound weight limit, however, he is very athletic compared to his size. Collier doesn’t have heavy hands is not a known finisher, preferring to earn points to win and grapple if necessary. Sherman is a former bare-knuckle fighting champion who did his best work years ago when he was on the juice. Now with a clean drug test, Sherman is struggling to get a win, losing his last 2 fights in the UFC against poor opposition. I question Sherman’s work ethic and want to be in the UFC with him constantly asking his cornerman in the last fight if he was winning each round and a bored look on his face.

Calvin Katter VS Giga Chikadze

Giga Chikadze by Decision - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.4, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Giga Chikadze is a former kickboxing champion who has worked his way into the title picture after an impressive knock-out of Edson Barboza last time out. Chikadze has lethal kicks and the infamous “Giga Kick” which has finished many people in the past. Chikadze will come out fast and I expect him to win the first 3 rounds comfortably, however, Kattar is potentially the hardest fighter to finish in the UFC. Katter is an excellent boxer who has mixed it with some of the greatest fighters of all time. Kattar was given a career-defining beating by Max Holloway in his last fight, where he absorbed the most significant strikes in the history of the UFC and still pushed himself to the end of the fight. Kattar has shown in the past that he struggles to check kicks and an improvement in this area will be essential against one of the best kickers on the UFC roster. This bout essentially comes down to a great boxer vs a great kickboxer and 4 weapons are always better than 2.

Main Card Multi

Main Card Multi - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.3, Best Book - BET365

UFC Vegas 46 Super Action

UFC Vegas 46 Super Action - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 35, Best Book - Lads/Neds