How To

1. Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.

2. Follow the staking advice.

3. Check the number of units to stake in the caption of each photo. See the example below.

4. Always try to use the Best Odds Bookmaker.

5. Any questions or want general banter? In The Octagon Telegram https://t.me/joinchat/CCLKFh01Ql4wMjdl

UFC 271
Adesanya
VS
Whittaker
2

Sunday 13th February

Prelims

William Knight VS Maxim Grishin

There seems to be a few underhanded tactics going into this fight and it has to be treated with caution. Maxim Grishin is a huge fighter who drains himself down to make the Light Heavyweight weight limit. William Knight came into the weigh-in today a massive 13 pounds over the weight limit knowing that Grishin is the type of fighter who would take the fight anyway. This looks to give Knight a bit of an underhanded advantage in this fight as he has not drained himself down the way Grishin has. Fade.

Jeremiah Wells VS Mike Mathetha

There is a lot of talk surrounding Blood Diamond around the casual UFC followers who I’m assuming are impressed by his nickname or being Adesanyas training partner. Blood Diamond does have plenty of kickboxing experience but only has 3 Pro MMA fights and this lack of experience is what’s going to be his undoing. Wells is not a top tier fighter in the division but he is a more than capable grappler coming out of a brilliant grappling gym. Wells will likely get this fight to the mat early where Diamond has shown 0 ability in the past. Wells will search for the back early, find the neck and apply pressure to this Diamond.

Douglas Silva de Andrade VS Sergey Morozov

We have 2 fighters here who are point fighters however they do it in different ways. Andrade is a stand and bang fighter who has slight chin issues and question marks over his will to fight when he faces adversity. Morozov is a wet blanket grappler who is more than capable in the stand-up game. Morozov is the all-around stronger fighter and most importantly here holds a stronger fight IQ. Both of these fighters have only lost to strong fighters however we see Morozov as a fighter who can make waves in the division while Andrade has likely peaked already. This will be a great 15-minute battle.

Carlos Ulberg VS Fabio Cherant

Carlos Ulberg looks like a solid Light Heavyweight prospect coming out of City Kickboxing and faces a chinny fighter in Fabio Cherant. Cherant has lost in the first round in both of his UFC fights and there’s a good chance the same thing happens today. Cherant is not UFC quality.

Jacob Malkoun VS AJ Dobson

Jacob Malkoun is Whittaker’s training partner and similar to Blood Diamond is only here because the UFC is doing Whittaker a favour. AJ Dobson looks to be the goods from what we have seen on the Contender and very well could get the job done in an emphatic fashion however this fight looks to be a little too close for us to pick a side. What we do like here is for the fight not to go the distance as both fighters have high finishing potential.

Ronnie Lawrence VS Mana Martinez

Ronnie Lawerence has the makings of a future top tier fighter. Lawerence easily dispatched Vince Cachero in his UFC debut and gets another fighter in Martinez who likely doesn’t deserve his contract in the competition. The only argument we have had over Lawerence is whether he will win by the decision as he is typically a points fighter or by KO as he is the much better fighter here. In the end, we have decided to keep Lawerence as a multi-piece to win straight up.

Alex Perez VS Matt Schnell

Both fighters struggled to get to the weight limit and it would have set up a great violence bet for us with 2 fighters that would stand and bang till someone drops. This fight has unfortunately been called off for the 5th time and it seems this fight is cursed to never take place.

Kyler Phillips VS Marcelo Rojo

Kyler the Matrix Phillips looks to be a brilliant prospect for the UFC. Phillips was very unlucky in his last fight where he almost knocked out Paiva in the first round before gassing after leaving it all in the cage. Phillips did lose that fight but it should have been a draw. Marcelo Rojo is not a great fighter and was beaten easily by Jourdain in his UFC debut. The one area that goes against us here is Rojos poor grappling so the Phillips sub may be on the table. We still see Phillips getting the finish and we have decreased the staking just in case Phillips does snap off his 2nd career sub.

Roxanne Modafferi VS Casey O’Neill

This is going to be Roxanne Modafferi’s retirement fight and we have a rule about never betting on a fighter after they have announced their retirement. Casey O’Neill has shown some great things in her first few fights in the promotion, but we have also seen some wrinkles in her game that will offer an excellent fade opportunity at some point soon. We are not getting the odds we would need to take O’Neill here and she has shown a tendency to finish fights early. This however goes against Modafferi’s record of not being finished in a fight since 2013. Fade on this bout.

Andrei Arlovski VS Jared Vanderaa

Andrei Arlovski is the longest-tenured fighter in UFC history, making his debut back in 2000. The former champion is 3rd all-time with 36 UFC bouts and is still fighting strong at 43 years old. Although the power has fallen from Arlovskis punches his fight IQ is still strong as is his ability to still beat incompetent fighters. Jared Vanderaa is an incompetent fighter. Vanderaa got into the UFC by beating possibly the worst UFC heavyweight fighter of all time in Harry Hunsucker. Since Vanderaa has made his debut he has only 1 victory over Justin Tafa in Tafas worst UFC performance. Arlovski can show his experience here and outpoint the human punching bag in Jared Vanderaa.

Prelim Multi

Main Card

Nasrat Haqparast VS Bobby Green

Bobby “King” Green is back in the octagon after winning his first fight by a finish since 2013. Green is the ultimate points fighter who at times can come across as a bit cocky with his demeanour in the cage. Green has a great gas tank and heats up as the fight goes on. Haqparast is also a points fighter who was completely destroyed by Dan Hooker in his last fight. This sets up to be a great fight with two guys that should be striking until the bitter end. I would have a slight lean to Bobby Green, but typically Green has been on the wrong end of some harsh calls in the past and Texas judging isn’t always the best. We’ll keep this one safe for our multis to go the distance at odds that are far too high.

Alexander Hernandez VS Renato Moicano

Renato Moicano is a veteran of the UFC who is still going strong at a meagre 32 years old. Moicano is a brilliant grappler and a submission expert who has lost to only the best fighters in the UFC. Moicano will need to watch himself in the first round where Hernandez has strong knockout power. Hernandez is a fighter who typically has gas tank issues the further the fight goes on and this will be his undoing in the later rounds of this fight. Moicano has a big advantage in the grappling and his last 3 wins have all come by rear-naked choke. When Moicano gets to Hernandez’s back this one will be finished quickly.

Jared Cannonier VS Derek Brunson

This is the toughest fight to pick on the whole card today and it has everything at stake. The winner of this fight will likely be getting the next title shot so both fighters will be giving it everything they have. The short of it is we are going to pass on this fight with basically any method of finish possible, except a Cannonier Sub. Sit back relax, grab a drink and get ready for 15 minutes of high-level MMA.

Derrick Lewis VS Tai Tuivasa

Yes we get it, Tai’s the Aussie, he’s up and comer, the shoey, it’s all well and good until you have to face Derick Lewis. Lewis is a different breed of a fighter than what Tai has faced in the past and Tais chin is yet to be tested. The toughest puncher that Tuivasa has faced so far is JDS, and he KOd Tuivasa in the 2nd round. Lewis will be fighting in his hometown of Houston where he has a 5-1 record and the crowd loves him. We cant see this fight lasting too long as both fighters have said they plan on standing and banging until 1 guy falls. Tai would likely have an advantage if he tries to kick the legs, move around and try to outpoint Lewis but we think this is highly unlikely to happen. Tuivasa was rocked by former NFL player Greg Hardy who had a chance to put Tuivasa out if it wasn’t for poor fight IQ. Lewis by KO. Tai does the Cuppy.

Israel Adesanya VS Robert Whittaker

We’ve seen this one before and let’s be honest we really can’t see Izzy losing here. The toughest question is does Izzy win by KO or by points and we think Whittaker is going to be reserved enough to get this to the cards. Izzy is just a different breed of fighter and his reach and height are incredible for the division. Whittakers best path to victory is to take the fight to the mat, but Adesanya has a brilliant takedown defence. Adesanya is one of those fighters who looks even better to judges because of the way he strikes and the length that he has. This is a terrific fight that will finish off a brilliant card.

Main Card Multi

UFC 271 Super Action

UFC 271 Super Action - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 16.5, Best Book - Lads/Neds