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Ray’s Tips NFL Week 6

How To

  1. Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.

  2. Follow the staking advice.

  3. Check the number of units to stake in the caption of each photo.

  4. Always try to use the Best Odds advised.

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All Times are in AEST.

Tuesday 19th October

Bills @ Titans

Bills/Titans SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.4, Best Book - BET365

Bills/Titans TD SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 11.5, Best Book - Sportsbet

Monday 18th October

Seahawks @ Steelers

Steelers/Seahawks SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.4, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Steelers/Seahawks TD SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 10, Best Book - Sportsbet

Diontae Johnson is a magnet on the field, attracting more targets per game than any other Steeler player. With Smith-Schuster out, Johnson will be heavily relied on as a possession receiver and chain mover. Johnson has gone over 63.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last seven matches and found the endzone in 4 of them.

DK Metcalf is the undisputed number 1 receiver on this team as Tyler Lockett goes missing for games on end if he doesn't get the big plays. Metcalf has gone over this total in his last three games straight and has scored a touchdown in each of those games.

Both of these players have terrific matchups and expect to be heavily targetted under the lights.

Dolphins @ Jaguars @ 00:30

Jaguars/Dolphins SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 6.5, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Packers @ Bears

Packers -5.5 - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 1.9, Best Book - Topsport

Chiefs @ Football Team

WFT/Chiefs SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 4.5, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Vikings @ Panthers

Vikings/Panthers SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 5.4, Best Book - Sportsbet

Chargers @ Ravens

Ravens -3 - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 1.9, Best Book - Topsport

If you can take the split line on Topsport definitly get on. The -3 is the play if you cant get a split play.

Rams @ Giants

Rams SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 4.2, Best Book - Sportsbet

Cardinals @ Browns

Browns/Cardinals Under 49.5 - Stake 3 Units, Minimum Odds 1.88, Best Book - Sportsmarket

Cowboys @ Patriots

Cowboys -3.5 - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 1.9, Best Book - Topsport

Gameday Multi

Gameday Multi - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.4, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Friday 15th October

Buccaneers @ Eagles

TNF SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 5.0, Best Book - Sportsbet

TNF Big SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 34, Best Book - Sportsbet

I have a couple of nice positive EV SGM's in play for the Bucs @ Eagles NFL game today. The Bucs have been looking great outside of their terrible loss against the Rams and are playing an Eagles side that looks a few years away from being in the playoff hunt.

SGM 1 - Antonio Brown O63.5 Receiving Yards, Antonio Brown Touchdown, Kenneth Gainwell over 23.5 Receiving Yards.

Antonio Brown will get a terrific matchup today as booming cornerback Darius Slay will likely cover Mike Evans. Brown has gone over this receiving yards total in 2 of 4 games this season and missed a 3rd by half a yard. More importantly, however, Brown continues to see an increase in his targets, enhancing his significant play ability. Brown has been a touchdown machine for most of his career, and this is revealing itself once again as he becomes a vital piece of this offence. Brown has scored a touchdown in both games this season, where he went over his yardage total and in 7 of his previous ten games. Kenneth Gainwell is becoming a vital part of the Eagles offence and is a capable pass-catcher on passing downs. The expectation is that the Eagles will be in giving formation as it is tough to run on them and will likely be playing behind. The opposing receiving back has flown past this total in all of the Bucs victories this season.

SGM 2 - Previous legs plus, Tampa Bay Win, Under 52.5, Jalen Reagor over 39.5 Receiving Yards.

Like most people, I expect Tampa Bay to win this match, but I believe it will be closer than people expect. Tom Brady was poor on Thursday games last season, and this is where we have seen his age catch up to him with the quick turnaround. While I expect a strong Buccaneers first half, I expect them to coast home in the second half if they have a lead and rely on the running game to work the clock. Antonio Brown does his best work in the first half. Jalen Reagor is an intriguing prospect who has shown his potential this season. Reagor has gone over this total in two of five games, but they were both against good matchups for him. There are very few matchups better for wide receivers than this beat-up Bucs secondary right now. Reagor will split his time between the edge and the slot, which will make it harder to track his elusiveness and speed. Reagor is second on the Eagles in targets and has the enormous upside to having a big game here.