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Rays NFL Tips Week 8

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Tuesday 2nd November

Giants @ Chiefs

Giants/Chiefs SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 4.4, Best Book - Lads/Neds

We have two quarterbacks who are deceptively athletic and quietly average over 30 rushing yards per game each. Both of these QBs have gone over their totals in 5/7 games each this season. Both the Chiefs and Giants are on their backup running backs leading to them finding more creative ways to move the ball on the ground.

Monday 1st November

Cowboys @ Vikings

Cook SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 5.0, Best Book - BET365

With Dak Prescott ruled out the Cowboys will struggle to move the ball through the air against what is an underrated Vikings defence. Dalvin Cook will be able to move the ball against the Cowboys rush defence who have shown lapses all season. The Vikings will work the clock down putting even more pressure on the Cowboys back up quarterback.

Panthers @ Falcons

Panthers/Falcons Total Under 46.5 - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 1.88, Best Book - Sportsbet

This match is always closely contested and low scoring. The Panthers started the season fast, but have shown an inept ability to score without Christian McCaffrey. The Falcons have shown glimpses of the offence. Stephon Gilmore will make his Panthers debut which will strengthen their secondary and keep the punt teams busy.

Rams @ Texans

Cooper Kupp 2+ Touchdowns - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 3.5, Best Book - Pointsbet

Cooper Kupp has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 of his 7 games this season. The matchup against the Texans looks like one of the best of the week, and I can see no reason why Kupp cant keeps scoring in bunches.

Dolphins @ Bills

Line Total Double, -14, Under 48.5 - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.3, Best Book - Pointsbet

The Bills are a step above this season and are already in the Superbowl conversation. The Dolphins however are looking like they have a big decision to make on whether to salvage some respect or tank for a draft pick. In the first meeting this season, the Bills prevailed 35-0. I can see a very similar game playing out here.

Titans @ Colts

Derrick Henry SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 2.3, Best Book - BET365

Derrick Henry is on another level this season and another big performance, will put him firmly in the MVP conversation. Henry has ploughed past this yardage total in 5 of 7 games so far and has scored in 4 of those 7 matches.

Derrick Henry 2+ TD - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 3.1, Best Book - Topsport

Derrick Henry has scored multiple touchdowns in 3 of 7 games so far this season and shows no signs of stopping.

Steelers @ Browns

Browns/Steelers SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.4, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Nick Chubb is a capable pass-catcher out of the backfield and should see a good amount of 3rd down work. Chubb will be favoured in passing situations over last weeks star, Johnson. Diontae Johnson is Big Bens favourite target and will see a tonne of action.

Jaguars @ Seahawks

Seahawks/Jaguars SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 3.4, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Geno Smith has shown over the last couple of weeks that he is actively searching for Metcalf in the passing game. Metcalf has one of the best matchups of the week. Laviska Shenault has seen an increase in target share since DJ Chark was injured. During the 3 games Chark has been out, Shenault has passed this receiving total each week.

Seahawks/Jaguars TD SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 14, Best Book - Sportsbet

This is a nice value play in a match I could see turning into a shoot out.

Patriots @ Chargers

Chargers -4.5/Under 49.5 Double - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.4, Best Book - Lads/Neds

We are getting a soft line on this match because of how good the Patriots looked last week. This week however the rested Chargers present a huge challenge for the Patriots. Matchup wise it favours the Chargers across the board. It’s tough to see the Patriots scoring too many points here.

Buccaneers @ Saints

Bucs/Saints SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 6.0, Best Book - Sportsbet

Leonard Fournette has been great in the passing game so far this season going over this receiving line in 5 of his last 6 games. Alvin Kamara sowed us last week he hasn’t lost his ability to catch the ball, posting a huge 128 yards through the air. With Mark Ingram back with the Saints, Kamara can focus on the receiving game more. With these two strong defences, I can see us getting treated to a close lower scoring game that doesn’t blow out either way.

Gameday Multi

Gameday Multi - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.2, Best Book - UNIBET

Friday 28th October

Packers @ Cardinals

Packers SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.7, Best Book - Sportsbet

Cardinals SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.4, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Combo SGM - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 12, Best Book - Sportsbet

I've had this game circled for a while as one of the best Thursday Night games were going to get this season. However, with the Packers missing their top 3 receivers, the energy has died down a bit. Aaron Rodgers has shown in the past that he is capable of finding success without Davante Adams, going 6-0 without him over the last two seasons. I want to get behind the Packers spread in a poor spot for the Cardinals, but their defence is so bad that I cant do it. In the past, without Adams, Rodgers has leant heavily on his tight ends to get the job done, and I expect more of the same today.

Bet 1 Robert Tonyan O41.5 rec yards + TD - Tonyan has not seen his usual workload so far with his targets lower than last season; however, I expect this to increase significantly with the lack of offensive firepower. Tonyan has cleared this total in only 2/7 games this season but has scored a touchdown both times. In two games last season without Davante Adams, Tonyan had almost 150 receiving yards and four touchdowns. The only knock on this play is the Cardinals being stout against tight ends so far this season, but situationally they have not been in a game where an oppositions tight end has been a factor.

Bet 2 Chase Edmonds O45.5 rush yards+ Christian Kirk O42.5 rec yards - Edmonds has gone over this rushing yardage total in 5/7 games this season. Edmonds is also starting to create a gap between himself and James Connor on the depth chart, with Edmonds' receiving and big-play ability keeping him on the field for more snaps. The packers are missing players all over their defence and are struggling to stop anyone at the moment. Christian Kirk has gone over this receiving yards line in 5/7 games, and together these players have gone over in 4/7 matches. Kirk is firmly entrenched as the Cardinals WR3 but has the upside to end the season as the WR2. Kirk flashes big-play ability and should hold a matchup advantage against anyone that guards him.

Bet 3 - SGM1+SGM2