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Rays NFL Tips Week 13

How To

  1. Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.

  2. Follow the staking advice.

  3. Check the number of units to stake in the caption of each photo.

  4. Always try to use the Best Odds advised.

  5. Join us in the Caveman Telegram Channel https://t.me/joinchat/ae1SR8kKEN0wNDZk

All Times are in AEST.

Tuesday 7th December

Patriots @ Bills, Monday Night Football

Monday 6th December

Broncos @ Chiefs, Sunday Night Football

Broncos +8.5/Total Under 46.5 Double - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 3.4, Best Book - BET365

We already have our big play in this game on Mecole Hardman as well as our Hardman/Mixon TD multi in play. We are just taking a small play here on the double with the Broncos more than capable of keeping this game close. The Chiefs havnt’t been scoring a lot of points recently and the Broncos defence is amongst the leagues stingiest. I expect a tight divisional matchup that could set the tone for how both of these teams will end the season.

Vikings @ Lions

Vikings SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.5, Best Book - BET365

Buccaneers @ Falcons

Mike Evans Anytime Touchdown - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 2.0, Best Book - Sportsbet

Mike Evans 2+ Touchdowns - Stake 0.5 Units, Minimum Odds 5.0, Best Book - Sportsbet

Colts @ Texans

Colts SGM - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 3.8, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Chargers @ Bengals

Joe Mixon 2+ Touchdowns - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 4.3, Best Book - Pointsbet

Football Team @ Raiders

Raiders SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 5.8, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Ravens @ Steelers

Ravens -4.5/Total Points Under 44.5 Double Result - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.4, Best Book - Lads/Neds

This is generally a fiercely contested rivalry but under the circumstances this season I believe the Ravens have a clear advantage. Big Ben is cooked and his arm is shot to pieces, today he also announced his impending retirement. We are looking at some poor weather for this match as well so I expect a low scoring game with the Ravens working the clock for a nice win.

49ers @ Seahawks

49ers/Seahawks SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 5.7, Best Book - Sportsbet

The Seahawks have finally imploded and it looks like we are about to see big changes in the offseason. The 49ers on the other hand have never played better this season and apart from Deebo Samuel being out this team is finally beginning to create some chemistry. With Samuel out, I see Brandon Aiyuk being the main benefactor in terms of targets. As well as an increase in usage Aiyuk has passed this receiving total in 3 of the past 4 weeks. Russel Wilson is always good for a few scrambles in the game and the 49ers have given up the most rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks.

Broncos @ Chiefs

Mecole Hardman Over 17.5 Receiving Yards - Stake 4 Units, Minimum Odds 1.87, Best Book - BET365

Its MEEEEECOLE HAAAAARDMAN time!!!!! For those of you who were with us last year you saw Mecole Hardman as almost a week in week out play and one of our most profitable bets. This season Hardman hasn’t had the role we expected from him but this receiving yards number is disrespectful. Hardman has gone over this total in 10/11 games this season and still sees roughly a 60% snap share. This total has dropped off slightly in the 2 games before the bye however it looks like he is back in the good graces in the wide receiver room. Hardman has been taken off punt return duties with the special teams coach eluding that it was for him to focus on his role as a wide receiver. Hardman may not go for 100+ yards this week, but getting him to go for 18+ yards is one of my favourite plays of the season. BET OF THE MONTH.

NFL Player Multi

NFL Player Multi - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.0, Best Book - BET365

Gameday Multi

Gameday Multi - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 3.6, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Friday 3rd December

Cowboys @ Saints

Saints/Cowboys Total Points Under 46 - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 1.88, Best Book - Sportmarket

There are two similar things with these teams and it boils down to both of their defences being better than their offences. I know this seems hard to fathom with Dak Prescott and all the firepower that the Cowboys possess but they have just not looked the same since before Prescotts injury. This week Head Coach Mike McCarthy will be out and in the Covid protocol so defensive Co-Ordinator Dan Quinn will be leading the team. This shouldn’t change the offensive playcalling too much but I do see the Cowboys employing a more ball control conservative gameplan.

Saints/Cowboys SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 8.6, Best Book - Sportsbet

  • Taysom Hill is a mobile quarterback that doesn’t project to be able to move that much today. Hill is dealing with Plantar Fasciitis in his foot which will decrease his mobility. There will be fewer designed runs for Hill and he will likely slide earlier on scrambles.

  • Tony Pollards receiving total is quickly becoming one of our favourite bets as the bookies continue to undervalue his role in the passing game. Pollard has gone over this mark in 6 of the last 7 games and has gone over in 8 of 11 games on the season.

  • We are getting an Amari Cooper receiving total that is much too high this week. Cooper has missed the last 2 matches with Covid and has said himself that he is nowhere near the conditioning he had previously. Cooper is going to be on a snap count today and play a limited role in the offence. When on the field he will likely be matched up with Mashon Lattimore who has a big advantage over a slower Amari Cooper.

  • The Saints looked completely inept on offence last week and struggled to get the ball moving. This week with Taysom Hill and Mark Ingram on deck I have the Saints playing a slower game again but still not being able to score frequently. If the Cowboys come out of the gate quickly which they have done a lot this season the Saints are more likely to create offensive errors and not be able to recover. Alvin Kamara and both tackles are desperately needed back in this team in order to have more success.