How To

1. Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.

2. Follow the staking advice.

3. Check the number of units to stake in the caption of each photo.

4. Always try to use the Best Odds advised.

5. Join us in the Caveman Telegram Channel https://t.me/joinchat/ae1SR8kKEN0wNDZk

All Times are in AEST.

Hi Team, It’s been a tough start to the season as our player prop sgm’s have been going against our statistical model. This week I will be looking to release only the top EV plays which means we may not have a play on all games. We will also see some player prop single bets come out as our model is predicting some huge positive EV plays for certain single events. I employ you to keep the faith team as I have been profitable year after year in the NFL. It’s a marathon, not a sprint and we still have almost 5 months of football to go.

Tuesday 5th October

Raiders @ Chargers

Monday 4th October

Sunday Night Football

Buccaneers @ Patriots

Gameday Tip Release

Disclaimer - These odds are well over what they should be and I don’t know how long they will last. The next best odds are at Lad’s/Neds at 3.83 if they have taken this off the board.

Previous Releases

Friday 1st October

Jaguars @ Bengals

The Bengals have started the season hot, beating two teams that were supposed to have top tier defensive units. In the Bengals only previous home game this season, Mixon went off for 127 rushing yards and a touchdown which continues his home form from the last few seasons. Joe Mixon is the sole running back that is getting relevant carries on the Bengals. Mixon has carried the rock 67 times already this season compared to 6 carries for the backup Samaje Perine, who has been used predominantly as a pass-blocking back. The Jaguars have conceded five rushing touchdowns already this season and are conceding almost 120 rushing yards per game, and this is against pass-first teams. As good as the Bengals receiving core may look on paper, don’t forget this is a run-first team who will be playing a lot of 2 tight end sets with Tee Higgins out.

Early Line Release

Titans @ Jets

The Jets are terrible. This Jets team may even be worse than they were last season. On offence, Zach Wilson shows all the problems people liked to glance over when he came out of BYU. The Jets run game is non-existent, and they have a play-caller who is afraid to run the ball when they are more than a score behind. The Jets defence is almost identical to last season, even though they have Robert Salah, who has been a defensive wizard in the past. The Jets run defence is one of the worst in the league, and they struggle to slow drives down. The Titans have started the season slowly, but they look better each week, and Derrick Henry is coming into his own this season. Ryan Tannehill has had a slower start to the season, but this looks like a perfect spot for him to bounce back. The Titans have a high octane offence who put up many points very quickly, and the Jets are a team that has scored 20 points over three games. It’s the Titans all day for me.

Steelers @ Packers

The Packers are looking better each week and can show they can beat you multiple ways on offence. After a week one game that we can throw out, the Packers have shown they can beat you both downfield and with their backfield. The knock on the Packers is their defence, who has shown little ability to slow down the run game and are overly dependant on Jaire Alexander in the secondary. With that being said, the Steelers are utterly inept on offence this season and will struggle to put up points against even the worst defences. Ben Rothlisberger is in his final season (well, he better be) and is showing all the poise of an older man who should have retired three years ago. The Steelers offensive line is horrific, and they have had to alter their game plan to throw Najee Harris the ball because they cant create running space for him. The Packers are a strong team that will still be playing football in January. The Steelers are an overrated regressing team that will be getting an early start on the off-season.

Buccaneers @ Patriots

The Tom Brady vs Bill Belichick revenge game is one that everyone will be tuning in to watch. We need to think about this logically, and when we do, there is only one side that we can be on. The Patriots are a team that needs the run game to work to have any success. The Buccaneers have one of the best-run defences in the league. Tom Brady and the Bucs receivers feast on poor secondaries, and the Patriots have not been as good in the secondary as they have in previous seasons. Last week was the first game that Mac Jones started to face some pressure, and he responded with three interceptions with only one touchdown. The Bucs put up a tricky 24 points last week against the Rams, which will be their low watermark for the season. This match will be a record-setting match as well as Tom Brady should break the career passing yards record. This will be a great match to watch, and we will put another notch in the Tom Brady GOAT argument.