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Caveman’s Tips NFL

10/09/2021-14/09/2021

How To

  1. Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.

  2. Follow the staking advice.

  3. Check the number of units to stake in the caption of each photo.

  4. Always try to use the Best Odds advised.

  5. Join us in the Caveman Telegram Channel https://t.me/joinchat/ae1SR8kKEN0wNDZk

All Times are in AEST.

Tuesday 14th September

Raiders VS Ravens @10:15

Ravens SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 5.0, Best Book - Lads/Neds

if you cant get the Josh Jacobs prop, leave it out and minimum odds changes to 3.9.

Ravens/Raiders Total Under 50 - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 1.90, Best Book - Sportsmarket

Both of these teams have much better defenses than they do offenses. Although the word much better may not apply to the Raiders who are just poor at football in general. Both teams have been hampered by injuries especially on the offensive side of the ball and I can see moving the chains become difficult in this match.

Monday 13th September

Rams VS Bears @10:20

Rams SGM - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 13, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Cardinals VS Titans @03:00

Cardinals/Titans SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 6.6, Best Book - UNIBET

49ers VS Lions @03:00

49ers SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.9, Best Book - UNIBET

Browns VS Chiefs @06:25

Browns/Chiefs SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 5.6, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Packers VS Saints @06:25

Packers/Saints SGM - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 5.0, Best Book - Sportsbet

Friday 10th September

NFL

See this content in the original post

Bucs SGM - Stake 1 Unit, MInimum Odds 5.0, Best Book - Sportsbet

We’re getting overs here on the Antonio Brown props and it’s set up nicely to attack an SGM. Brown has looked in some of the best form he’s been in for years and a year getting to work with Tom Brady will increase their chemistry. In the playoffs, last season Brown was the go-to guy and I expect this to continue. Don’t be surprised if Brown ends this season with the most receiving yards and touchdowns on this Bucs side.

See this content in the original post

Early Line NFL

Each week I will be dropping early tips for the NFL where I expect to see line movement before we get to game time. These may not always end up moving, or occasionally due to unknown circumstances, the activity may go the other way. Still, the majority of the time, we will end up beating the closing line. Through years of research and my betting history, I have learnt that these early lines can be crucial, as what is a good bet at the start of the week may not be so good by kick-off. NFL is a sport that has some essential numbers where games tend to fall in both totals and point spreads, and getting to the right side of these numbers can be one of the most critical parts of NFL betting.

Cowboys @ Buccaneers

The defending champion Buccaneers go up against one of last seasons disappointments to open the season. I can only see this game going one way, and that’s with a Bucs win. The Bucs are more potent on offence, defence, special teams and have a significant coaching advantage. The Cowboys will be encouraged by their quarterback Dak Prescott's return, but limited training with the first team will see the Cowboys start slowly. The Cowboys defence last season was amongst the league-worst, and although they have taken steps to fix that this season their secondary remains poor. Zach Martin, the Cowboys all-pro guard, will miss this game on the Covid list, which exposes a fragile interior offensive line. The Bucs will get Ndamukong Suh back in time for this game, who will partner with Vita Vea to attack the weak Cowboys O-Line and apply pressure on Dak Prescott all game. The Superbowl champions start this season the way they ended the last.

Bucs -8 - Stake 2.5 Units, Minimum Odds 1.9, Best Book - Topsport

Steelers @ Bills

This predicts a one-sided matchup on the opening weekend with two teams heading in opposite directions. The Bills made the conference championship last season thanks to a breakout season from quarterback Josh Allen. The Steelers, however, started the season 11-0 then had a monumental collapse which saw them lose a home playoff game to the Browns. A lot of the Steelers collapse can be attributed to their injury issues and poor offensive line play; however that may not get better this season. The Steelers offensive line is an almost entirely new group with a significant drop in talent that will struggle to protect Big Ben and create spaces for rookie Najee Harris. The one thing you can’t deny for the Steelers is their elite defence. The Steelers may not score a lot of points, but they are unlikely to concede many either. The Bills threw the ball a lot last season as their run game became inefficient; however, I expect to change this season as Zach Moss and Devin Singletary have an offseason together to embrace the offence. The Bills defensively were substantial last season and will follow the guidance of elite linebacker Matt Milano. I’ll take the under here.

Steelers/Bills Under 48.5 - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 1.89, Best Book - Sportsmarket

Chargers @ Football Team

The Chargers are coming into this season with lofty expectations, which I believe are misplaced. The Chargers may have been an unlucky side last year, losing a handful of one-possession games but don’t be fooled by their schedule, which sees them play a bunch of poor matchups. The Chargers have improved their offensive line but not enough to hold up against the defensive fronts they will face all season. The Chargers are also a fragile team depth-wise, and any injury will derail their season when it comes to groups that can expose the Chargers weaknesses, look no further than the Washington Football Team. Washington has one of the best defences in the league and will tell the Chargers lack of weapons and versatility early in the game. The Football Teams Offense may not be as imposing as their defence, but they play very fast in the screen game and have added extra speed on the outside. This will be enough to get past the Chargers ageing slower defence. I’ll take Washington outright.

Washington Football Team Win - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 1.9, Best Book - UNIBET

Dolphins @ Patriots

This Patriots side has come on in leaps and bounds from the 7-9 rebuilding train wreck they produced last season. Mac Jones has shown and said all the right things since he was drafted this season, and the Patriots have the mentor structure in place to help him learn on the job. The Patriots may look shy of attacking weapons, but their roster is tailor-made for a rookie quarterback to succeed with two solid tight ends and a strong receiving backfield. Thanks to some savvy free-agent pickups that will fit perfectly into the system, the Patriots' defence will also be a lot stronger. The Dolphins, however, are surrounded in question marks outside of cornerback. I still doubt Tua Tagovailoas ability to produce at this level, especially with one of the worst running games in the league. The Dolphins left tackle Austin Jackson will miss this game, and they will struggle against the Patriots multiple front attacks. The Dolphins' secondary is strong, but I have huge questions about their pass rush and run-stopping ability. It looks like it’s going to be a long day for the Dolphins in Foxborough.

Patriots -3 - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 1.9, Best Book - BET365

Bears @ Rams

Our Sunday Night Football game puts 2 teams against each other who have had stout defences over the last few seasons. This Season however both teams have taken a step back due to the price elite defence commands. Both of these teams will remain strong upfront but it is in the secondary where we will see drop-offs in production. With that being said however both teams have question marks over their offence and scoring potential this year. The Rams are entering year 1 with Matthew Stafford under centre and although there are receiving weapons for him, the lack of a run game will be testing. The Bears will be trotting out an ageing backup QB in Andy Dalton, who will sit behind a leaky offensive line and throw to unpolished route runners, outside of Allen Robinson who will be shadowed by Jalen Ramsey all game. The Rams game plan, especially in home games is to get a lead and then work the clock which I thoroughly expect them to do, however, that could make this game a tedious watch. I’ll go with the under.

Bears/Rams Under 45.5 - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 1.9, Best Book - Sportsmarket