Black Swan Bets - Australia's Sports Betting Membership

View Original

NRL Best Bets Round 11

How To

  1. Use Betting Units. Set your total amount of money to bet with for today and divided it by 100. That is how much each unit is. E.G if you have $1000 / 100 = $10 Units.

  2. Follow the staking advice.

  3. Check the number of units to stake in the caption of each photo.

  4. Always try to use the Best Odds advised.

Sunday 23rd May

Rabbitohs VS Panthers

Alternative Total points Under 41.5 - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 2.9, Best Book - Sportsbet
NB (Under 40.5 is ok)

Kurt Capewell Try - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 3.3, Best Book - Sportsbet

Eels VS Sea Eagles

Tom Trbojevic Try - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 2.0, Best Book - BET365

Maika Sivo 2+ Tries - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 3.2, Best Book- Pointsbet

Saturday 22nd May

Titans VS Bulldogs

AJ Brimson 2+ Tries - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 4.4, Best Book - Topsport

Roosters VS Broncos

James Tedesco 2+ Tries - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 3.25, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Tedesco 1st Try Scorer - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 7.5, Best Book - Lads/Neds

Storm -13.5, Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 2.0, Best Book - Pointsbet

George Jennings 2+ Tries - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 4.0, Best Book - Topsport

Friday 21st May

Warriors VS West Tigers

David Nofoluma 2+ Tries - Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 4.3, Best Book Pointsbet

David Nofoluma has been up and down this season, but this is generally the time of the year he starts to play like one of the best wingers in the comp. Nofo gets a brilliant matchup this week against the Warriors who have given up the most tries in the league to right-wingers. There will be a late change this week which will send Roger Tuivasa-Sheck presumably to the right-wing for the Warriors, which will cause the ball to get shifted to Nofos wing more often. The Warriors have been great at defending centres this season which should mean Adam Doueihi can get the opposition winger drawn off his line to open up the lane for Nofoluma to score. David Nofoluma will also be celebrating his 150th game. Best odds at Pointsbet.

Sharks VS Dragons

Dragons Win - Stake 1.5 Units, Minimum Odds 2.85, Best Book - BET365

The Dragons are dealing with a lot of missing players this week and if this was against any other team I wouldn’t be backing them. The Dragons get a nice matchup this week even with their absentees and let’s be honest, Cronulla has been pretty trash over the past couple of months. We are getting an over the odds number on the Dragons because of Joe Public staking everything they have on the Sharks. We are still going relatively conservative here, but I believe the Dragons will surprise a lot of people this week. Best odds at BET365.

Max Feagai 2+ Tries - Stake 1 Unit, Minimum Odds 6.0, Best Book - Sportsbet

Max Feagai has been in excellent form this season in NSW Cup and has been a bright spot in what has generally been a poor team. This form has transferred over to the NRL when he has been granted the opportunity. The Sharks left edge has been very poor defensively lately and I can’t see that changing this week. Best odds at Sportsbet.

Thursday 20th May

Cowboys VS Knights

Cowboys 1-12, Stake 2 Units, Minimum Odds 2.9, Best Book - Topsport

The Cowboys are very slowly playing themselves into enough form to avoid the wooden spoon. Don’t get me wrong, this is still not a good football side but they are better than what we saw at the start of the season. The Knights have managed to put a lot of embarrassing performances together this season and are in a damage control scenario. The Cowboys are yet to blow any teams off the park and I can’t see it happening for a while due to their team make-up. The 4 games the Cowboys have won this season have all been by 12 points or less. I look forward to seeing a middle dominating match as these two forward packs go head to head. Best odds at Topsport.