Week 4 Monday Night Football

Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers

Matchup Insight

Both of these picks are risky with both Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley playing injured. If you can wait until the first series and see if they are getting separation on offence or not, then make a bet, please do. They are the keys to both the Falcons staying in this game, as well as the over hitting. The Packers may score 40+ points, and it does not matter who is in the game for the Falcons and how they perform. The Falcons have had some close painful losses this year, and I like this to be another one (maybe another hail marryt winner). It is guaranteed for yards to be accrued during the game. The question is, can both teams is whether they can both continue to score in the red zone, and just as importantly, how often they will continue to let other teams score. Over is the better bet here, as well as Calvin Ridley to continue to rack up yardage with his elite separation skills.

New England Patriots @ Kansas City Chiefs

Matchup Insight

I loved this game before Cam Newton got some sickness. Not the worst condition to even land you on the injury report, as there was once a University of Maryland defensive back who was out because of multiple STD complications. Anyway, I loved the Patriots +7 before the change to Brian Hoyer. The Chiefs will be elite by the end of the season, but they are still struggling with consistency at times on both sides. The shame is, downgrading from Cam to Hoyer is worth around 6-7 points itself, minimum. With Julian Edelman hurt, and the rest of the Patriots improving but still struggling at times getting separation, it could end up being a 10 point swing. I can see the Patriots being very run-heavy and conservative, trying to limit the possessions in the game. I cannot see this working, unfortunately, as the Chiefs have been stout at the line of scrimmage so far this year. Chris Jones has seemed to have improved after getting his huge deal this offseason. I can easily see this game going under as I cannot see the Patriots trying to go shot for shot with the Chiefs. I would say go the over for running yards for Chiefs players.