Free NBA SGM, Wednesday 14th April 2021
Why I like this Bet.
Pascal has hit this line 8/44 times this season already.
At the PF Position, the Hawks concede the 2nd least rebounds, the 9th least assists and 8th least points.
When he has a bad game, he can go very low on stats.
There is always a chance he gets benched or disciplined and misses court time.
He has hit this line 3 times in the last month alone.
It isn't often you can get over $13 odds for something that happens 1 in 5.5 games. I've max bet this one at my bookie. Spicy P's has significant differences in stats from game to game coupled with his questionable All-NBA selection last season, the public tends to bet the overs, which pushes the lines up.
This bet's weaknesses are Lowry’s absence today and at home; he is less likely to hit this line. However, the difference between being a positive EV at home and not is within him hitting it in one game. He has also hit this line without Lowry once this season already and gone close twice more. I usually give some leeway if some factors are within one game of this.
Bet Details.
Stake: 1.5 Units.
Min Odds to Take: $8